Match Club Brugge KV vs Atletico Madrid February 18, 2026 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Wed 18 Feb · 20:00
3:3
Full-time
Referee Glenn Nyberg, Sweden
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 68% · book 1.54
✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 30% · book 3.96
✗
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 70% · book 1.93
✓
xG (open play)
2.22 – 2.36
Δ −0.14
AI accuracy
8 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks BTTS No at 2.45 — +10.0% better than the market.
Club Brugge are in stronger recent rhythm and should carry more confidence at home, with a better chance of controlling the key phases and sustaining pressure. Atletico Madrid still have the tools to threaten in spells, but their recent stretch has been uneven and they’ve looked easier to push back when forced into long defensive spells. This sets up as a competitive match where Brugge have the clearer route to avoid defeat, while the draw stays very live if Atletico keep their shape and prevent the game from opening up too early.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.45
✗ Lost
AI 46%
Implied 41%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
CLU 4-2-3-1 · ATM 4-3-3
📊 Statistics
CLU 3
– 3 ATM
2.22
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
2.36
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
Match recap
Club Brugge KV and Atletico Madrid drew 3–3. At half-time it was 0–2.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 13, 10 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 8 landed and 7 missed, for a net +0.31 units (Brier 0.199).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
15 · 8 W · 7 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.54 |
— |
68% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
3.96 |
— |
30% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.93 |
— |
70% |
Cashed |
+0.93 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
3.90 |
— |
31% |
Cashed |
+2.90 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
2.45 |
— |
46% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
2.88 |
— |
39% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.34 |
— |
44% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.04 |
— |
94% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.22 |
— |
78% |
Cashed |
+0.22 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.70 |
— |
56% |
Cashed |
+0.70 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.60 |
— |
54% |
Cashed |
+0.60 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.62 |
— |
32% |
Cashed |
+1.62 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.30 |
— |
61% |
Cashed |
+0.30 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
1.97 |
— |
39% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.45 |
— |
30% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 15 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 7 L |
+0.31u |
+2% ROI |