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Home World UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund — Atalanta

Predictions Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta February 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Champions League Value pick inside
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Tue 17 Feb · 20:00
2:0
Full-time
Atalanta
Atalanta
L L W L L Away · last 5
Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands
Home Win · DOR
39%
Best 2.11
VALUE
Draw
31%
Best 3.50
Away Win · ATA
30%
Best 3.40
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.86
Fair odds
1.64
book 1.86 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 61% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (70%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw Value pick
Probability 31%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 30%
Odds 3.78
Show model details
Implied probability 26.5%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 39%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 6 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 58%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 36%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality High
Under 3.5
Probability 64%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 78%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 42%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 42%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 39%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 30%
Odds 2.71
Show model details
Implied probability 36.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Value pick
Probability 61%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 70%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
DOR – ATA @ 1.86
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →