Match Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain February 17, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

PSG look better equipped to control this game through cleaner build-up and stronger pressure in the final third. Monaco have been steady lately, but against an opponent that can sustain attacks and punish small defensive lapses, their margin for error is slim. The away side should create the clearer chances and are well placed to avoid defeat, with the most likely path being a tight game where PSG edge it — though the draw is very live if Monaco stay compact and protect the middle late on.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MON 4-2-3-1 · PSG 4-3-3

MON · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · PSG

9 Balogun

📊 Statistics

MON 2 – 3 PSG

20%

Possession (%)

80%

1.19

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.51

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

92%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Paris Saint Germain won 3–2 away at Monaco. At half-time it was 2–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 80% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 92% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.51 to 1.19. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 30 shots to 7, 10 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 8 landed and 7 missed, for a net -3.21 units (Brier 0.150).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 8 W · 7 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.55	—	66%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
AH Home 0	4.40	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.57	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.51	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	5.63	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.62	—	47%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.23	—	68%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.18	—	78%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.57	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.68	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.38	—	42%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	58%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
BTTS No	2.38	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.18	—	84%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	95%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 7 L	−3.21u	−21% ROI

Match Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain February 17, 2026 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled