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Home France Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain — Rennes

Preview Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes August 23, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Home · last 5 D W W L D
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Rennes
Rennes
W W L W L Away · last 5
Parc des Princes · Paris
Home Win · PSG
60%
Best 1.60
Draw
20%
Best 5.33
Away Win · REN
20%
Best 6.50

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 69% probability.

Also rated highly: Paris Saint Germain to win 60%, both teams to score 60%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Paris Saint Germain hosts Rennes at Parc des Princes in a Ligue 1 clash with limited recent form data. The home side is expected to leverage their familiar surroundings and attacking potential, while Rennes may look to stay compact and exploit counterattacks. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a slight lean towards goals, hinting at a lively tempo.

  • Home advantage likely to boost PSG's confidence
  • Rennes' defensive resilience could challenge PSG's offense
  • Market hints at a balanced contest with goal opportunities

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 60% Paris Saint Germain win
Over/Under 2.5 69% Over 2.5
BTTS 60% Yes
Double Chance 80% 1X
  • 1X2 Paris Saint Germain win 60%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69%
  • BTTS Yes 60%
  • Double Chance 1X 80%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Away Win · 6.39 ↓ 5.75 (-10%)
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Paris Saint Germain
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 6 / 4
Avg goals / match 2.0
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 1/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.15 / 1.34
Rennes
W/D/L 3-0-2
Goals (for / against) 10 / 9
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 4/5
Over 2.5 5/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 2.01 / 2.02

🎯 Scenario insights

Paris Saint Germain wins when scoring first
67%
Rennes wins when scoring first
80%
Paris Saint Germain BTTS rate · last 10
60%
Rennes BTTS rate · last 10
70%
Paris Saint Germain Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
Rennes Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
Paris Saint Germain comeback rate · last 10
0%
Rennes comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Paris Saint Germain · last 10 at home

0–15 22%
16–30 4%
31–45 22%
46–60 9%
61–75 22%
76–90 22%

Rennes · last 10 away

0–15 15%
16–30 25%
31–45 10%
46–60 25%
61–75 15%
76–90 10%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.