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Home World World Cup - Qualification Europe Sweden — Slovenia

Predictions Sweden vs Slovenia November 18, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

World   /   World Cup - Qualification Europe Value pick inside
Sweden
Sweden
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Tue 18 Nov · 19:45
1:1
Full-time
Slovenia
Slovenia
L D D L D Away · last 5
Referee Maurizio Mariani, Italy
Home Win · SWE
52%
Best 1.67
Draw
26%
Best 3.65
VALUE
Away Win · SLO
22%
Best 5.60
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 9.50
Fair odds
8.33
book 9.50 · +14.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 12% · EV +14.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (88%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Longshot value
Probability 22%
Odds 6.10
Show model details
Implied probability 16.4%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 26%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 52%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 68%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality High
Under 1.5
Probability 45%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5 Longshot value
Probability 12%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 85%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality High
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 88%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality High
Over 1.5
Probability 55%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 32%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 15%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Top pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 42%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Value pick
Probability 30%
Odds 3.96
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 70%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality High
Other Markets 1 market
Double Chance X2 Best in group
Probability 48%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
SWE – SLO @ 9.50
+14.0%
Edge
Forecast →