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Home › World › World Cup - Qualification Europe › Northern Ireland — Luxembourg

Predictions Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg November 17, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

World   /   World Cup - Qualification Europe Value pick inside
Northern Ireland
Northern Ireland
Home · last 5 W L L W L
Kick-off
Mon 17 Nov · 19:45
1:0
Full-time
Luxembourg
Luxembourg
L L L L L Away · last 5
Referee Kristo Tohver, Estonia
Home Win · NOR
57%
Best 1.70
Draw
25%
Best 3.45
VALUE
Away Win · LUX
18%
Best 5.80
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.40
Fair odds
3.13
book 3.40 · +9.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +9.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (68%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 57%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Longshot value
Probability 18%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 89%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11%
Odds 9.10
Show model details
Implied probability 11%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 68%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 32%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 42%
Odds 2.13
Show model details
Implied probability 46.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 58%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 24%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality High
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 59%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 41%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.2%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 4 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 57%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 18%
Odds 4.58
Show model details
Implied probability 21.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home -1
Probability 34%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home -2
Probability 18%
Odds 4.67
Show model details
Implied probability 21.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 82%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 43%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
NOR – LUX @ 3.40
+9.0%
Edge
Forecast →