Match Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg November 17, 2025 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Mon 17 Nov · 19:45
1:0
Full-time
Referee Kristo Tohver, Estonia
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 57% · book 1.65
✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 59% · book 1.75
✓
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 25% · book 4.05
✗
AI accuracy
8 / 19
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.40 — +9.0% better than the market.
Northern Ireland should control territory and set-pieces at Windsor Park, while Luxembourg lean on deep blocks and sporadic counters. Expect a slower tempo with the hosts creating the cleaner looks.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5
Under 1.5 @ 3.40
✓ Cashed
AI 32%
Implied 29%
+2.40u
📊 Statistics
NOR 1
– 0 LUX
69%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
Match recap
Northern Ireland beat Luxembourg 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 79% of their passes. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 19 graded markets, 8 landed and 11 missed, for a net -5.61 units (Brier 0.138).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
19 · 8 W · 11 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Home Win |
1.65 |
— |
57% |
Cashed |
+0.65 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
1.75 |
— |
59% |
Cashed |
+0.75 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
4.05 |
— |
25% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
7.00 |
— |
18% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
2.21 |
— |
41% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.08 |
— |
89% |
Cashed |
+0.08 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
9.10 |
— |
11% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.36 |
— |
68% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
3.40 |
— |
32% |
Cashed |
+2.40 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
2.13 |
— |
42% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
1.84 |
— |
58% |
Cashed |
+0.84 |
Cashed
|
| Over 3.5 |
3.80 |
— |
24% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.30 |
— |
76% |
Cashed |
+0.30 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.16 |
— |
82% |
Cashed |
+0.16 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
2.47 |
— |
43% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.21 |
— |
57% |
Cashed |
+0.21 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
4.58 |
— |
18% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home -1 |
2.11 |
— |
34% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home -2 |
4.67 |
— |
18% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 19 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 11 L |
−5.61u |
−30% ROI |
