Match FC Thun vs FC Zurich December 20, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.00 — +14.2% better than the market.

FC Thun arrives with clear home momentum, boasting a stronger overall quality and recent winning form. Their offensive edge against Zurich's defense suggests they can press high and create chances, especially at Stockhorn Arena. Meanwhile, Zurich's defensive resilience may keep the scoreline tight, but their recent struggles and away challenges hint at a tough outing.

Thun's home advantage and sharper attack
Zurich's defensive solidity but poor form
Moderate pace expected with balanced goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.00 ✓ Cashed

AI 57% Implied 50% +1.00u

+100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

THU 4-3-1-2 · ZUR 3-4-1-2

THU · 4-3-1-2 3-4-1-2 · ZUR

96 Labeau

📊 Statistics

THU 4 – 2 ZUR

54%

Possession (%)

46%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

71%

Pass Accuracy (%)

65%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Thun beat FC Zurich 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 0–2.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.55 units (Brier 0.145).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.71	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.00	—	57%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.55	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.62	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.38	—	34%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.87	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.50	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.31	—	81%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.55	—	56%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.51	—	57%	Cashed	+0.51	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.48	—	57%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.18	—	78%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Draw	3.85	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.81	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.84	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.55u	−27% ROI