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Home World UEFA Europa League Aston Villa — Red Bull Salzburg

Predictions Aston Villa vs Red Bull Salzburg January 29, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Home · last 5 W W L W W
Kick-off
Thu 29 Jan · 20:00
3:2
Full-time
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
W L L W L Away · last 5
Villa Park · Birmingham Referee Rohit Saggi, Norway
Home Win · AST
59%
Best 1.37
Draw
20%
Best 5.24
Away Win · SAL
20%
Best 7.38
Value pick
Draw
@ 5.13
Fair odds
4.92
book 5.13 · +4.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 20% · EV +4.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (59%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 20.4%
Odds 6.81
Show model details
Implied probability 14.7%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 20.3%
Odds 5.13
Show model details
Implied probability 19.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 67%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 45.7%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 33%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 15%
Odds 19.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 26.2%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 85%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.8%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 52.1%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.9%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 20.4%
Odds 4.85
Show model details
Implied probability 20.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 40.7%
Odds 2.89
Show model details
Implied probability 34.6%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.6%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
AST – SAL @ 5.13
+4.3%
Edge
Forecast →