Match AS Roma vs VfB Stuttgart January 22, 2026 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Thu 22 Jan · 20:00
2:0
Full-time
Stadio Olimpico · Roma
Referee John Brooks, England
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.83
✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 32% · book 3.82
✗
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 62% · book 1.88
✗
xG (open play)
0.94 – 1.77
Δ −0.83
AI accuracy
8 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AS Roma come into this one with strong momentum and a clear idea of how to manage games at home, especially when they can control territory and protect their box well. VfB Stuttgart are in good form too and have enough pace and structure to stay dangerous on the break, but this looks like a matchup where the hosts can limit the clean chances and turn it into a tight, tactical contest.
Overall, Roma look slightly better placed to take something from the match, yet Stuttgart are competitive enough to keep it close and make a draw a very live outcome.
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Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
⛀ Lineups
ROM 3-4-2-1 · STU 3-4-2-1
📊 Statistics
ROM 2
– 0 STU
0.94
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.77
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
Match recap
AS Roma beat VfB Stuttgart 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.77 to 0.94. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 8 landed and 7 missed, for a net -2.05 units (Brier 0.200).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
15 · 8 W · 7 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.83 |
— |
54% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
3.82 |
— |
32% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.88 |
— |
62% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.84 |
— |
30% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.44 |
— |
69% |
Cashed |
+0.44 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.05 |
— |
94% |
Cashed |
+0.05 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
2.24 |
— |
44% |
Cashed |
+1.24 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.26 |
— |
78% |
Cashed |
+0.26 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.13 |
— |
46% |
Cashed |
+1.13 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.69 |
— |
56% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
3.05 |
— |
31% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
2.80 |
— |
32% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.31 |
— |
68% |
Cashed |
+0.31 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
2.03 |
— |
38% |
Cashed |
+1.03 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.49 |
— |
38% |
Cashed |
+0.49 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 15 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 7 L |
−2.05u |
−14% ROI |
