Match Plzen vs FC Porto January 22, 2026 — Result and Stats
Plzen
Home · last 5
D
D
W
D
D
Kick-off
Thu 22 Jan · 17:45
1:1
Full-time
Doosan Aréna · Plzeň
Referee Andris Treimanis, Latvia
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 52% · book 2.03
✗
Hit
Draw
Draw
AI 30% · book 3.60
✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 82% · book 1.28
✓
xG (open play)
0.29 – 2.07
Δ −1.78
AI accuracy
8 / 13
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Draw at 3.60 — +8.0% better than the market.
Plzen can be stubborn at home and should compete physically, but Porto arrive in top form and look the more reliable side in both boxes. The visitors tend to control phases well, limit clear chances against, and have enough quality to take advantage of key moments. A Porto result looks the most solid route, with the game more likely to stay measured than turn into a chaotic shootout.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 3.60
✓ Cashed
AI 30%
Implied 28%
+2.60u
⛀ Lineups
PLZ 3-4-1-2 · POR 4-3-3
📊 Statistics
PLZ 1
– 1 POR
0.29
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
2.07
65%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
Match recap
Plzen and FC Porto drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 85% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.07 to 0.29. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 10, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 8 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.27 units (Brier 0.187).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
13 · 8 W · 5 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Away Win |
2.03 |
— |
52% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
3.60 |
— |
30% |
Cashed |
+2.60 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.28 |
— |
82% |
Cashed |
+0.28 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.38 |
— |
74% |
Cashed |
+0.38 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.08 |
— |
93% |
Cashed |
+0.08 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
1.82 |
— |
54% |
Cashed |
+0.82 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
2.14 |
— |
46% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.92 |
— |
50% |
Cashed |
+0.92 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
1.92 |
— |
50% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.29 |
— |
74% |
Cashed |
+0.29 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.90 |
— |
48% |
Cashed |
+0.90 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
4.20 |
— |
18% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.43 |
— |
52% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 13 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 5 L |
+1.27u |
+10% ROI |