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Home World UEFA Europa League Sturm Graz — FK Crvena Zvezda

Predictions Sturm Graz vs FK Crvena Zvezda December 11, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
Home · last 5 D L L L W
Kick-off
Thu 11 Dec · 17:45
0:1
Full-time
FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda
W W D W L Away · last 5
Merkur-Arena · Graz Referee Damian Sylwestrzak, Poland
Home Win · STU
32%
Best 3.43
Draw
25%
Best 3.73
Away Win · CRV
43%
Best 2.03
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.66
Fair odds
2.50
book 2.66 · +6.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 40% · EV +6.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (60%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 43%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 32%
Odds 2.98
Show model details
Implied probability 33.6%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25%
Odds 3.76
Show model details
Implied probability 26.6%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 43%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 7%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 65%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 20%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 93%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality High
Over 1.5
Probability 80%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 57%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 35%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 60%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 43%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 32%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Medium
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 68%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 57%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
STU – CRV @ 2.66
+6.0%
Edge
Forecast →