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Home World UEFA Europa League FC Midtjylland — Genk

Predictions FC Midtjylland vs Genk December 11, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Europe   /   UEFA Europa League Value pick inside
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Home · last 5 W D W W L
Kick-off
Thu 11 Dec · 17:45
1:0
Full-time
Genk
Genk
W W D W L Away · last 5
MCH Arena · Herning Referee Vassilis Fotias, Greece
Home Win · MID
51%
Best 1.72
VALUE
Draw
25%
Best 4.08
Away Win · GEN
24%
Best 4.42
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.48
Fair odds
2.38
book 2.48 · +4.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +4.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (60%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw Value pick
Probability 25%
Odds 4.07
Show model details
Implied probability 24.6%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 24%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Top pick
Probability 51%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Medium
Totals 8 markets
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 95%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality High
Under 0.5
Probability 5%
Odds 16.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 85%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality High
Under 1.5
Probability 17%
Odds 5.10
Show model details
Implied probability 19.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 61%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality High
Under 2.5
Probability 39%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5 Value pick
Probability 42%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 60%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 65%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality High
BTTS No
Probability 35%
Odds 2.46
Show model details
Implied probability 40.7%
Bet quality Medium
Asian Handicap 3 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 70%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 30%
Odds 3.07
Show model details
Implied probability 32.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Away +1
Probability 13%
Odds 6.75
Show model details
Implied probability 14.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 77%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality High
Double Chance X2
Probability 48%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
MID – GEN @ 2.48
+4.0%
Edge
Forecast →