Match Genk vs FC Basel 1893 November 27, 2025 — Result and Stats
Genk
Home · last 5
W
W
D
W
L
Kick-off
Thu 27 Nov · 20:00
2:1
Full-time
Cegeka Arena · Genk
Referee Orel Grinfeeld, Israel
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 57% · book 1.91
✗
Miss
Under 0.5
Under 0.5
AI 7% · book 17.50
✗
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 31% · book 3.72
✗
xG (open play)
0.64 – 0.62
Δ +0.02
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Away Win at 3.72 — +15.0% better than the market.
Genk vs Basel looks like a fairly open European tie with the Belgian side slightly stronger at home but the Swiss team carrying real threat on transitions. The hosts should see more of the ball and create steady pressure, while Basel’s pace and away scoring form keep this from being a straightforward home win. Expect a match tilted towards Genk but with both teams capable of scoring and a decent chance that Basel stays competitive on the handicap.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 3.72
✗ Lost
AI 31%
Implied 27%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
GEN 4-2-3-1 · BAS 4-3-3
📊 Statistics
GEN 2
– 1 BAS
0.64
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.62
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
Match recap
Genk beat FC Basel 1893 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.
From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.10 units (Brier 0.123).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.91 |
— |
57% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 0.5 |
17.50 |
— |
7% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
3.72 |
— |
31% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
4.09 |
— |
26% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.69 |
— |
60% |
Cashed |
+0.69 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.55 |
— |
64% |
Cashed |
+0.55 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.57 |
— |
63% |
Cashed |
+0.57 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.20 |
— |
82% |
Cashed |
+0.20 |
Cashed
|
| AH Away 0 |
2.72 |
— |
36% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.04 |
— |
93% |
Cashed |
+0.04 |
Cashed
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.49 |
— |
64% |
Cashed |
+0.49 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.38 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.60 |
— |
36% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.33 |
— |
69% |
Cashed |
+0.33 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
2.46 |
— |
37% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
5.00 |
— |
18% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
2.03 |
— |
43% |
Cashed |
+1.03 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−5.10u |
−30% ROI |