Match Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lyon November 27, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.12 — +6.0% better than the market.

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lyon looks like a match where the French side’s higher quality should show over ninety minutes, even if the Israelis stay competitive at home. Lyon are more likely to control the ball and create the clearer chances, while Maccabi rely on counters, so the away team has a better chance to avoid defeat in a game that most often finishes with two or three total goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 2.12 ✗ Lost

AI 50% Implied 47% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MAC 4-2-3-1 · LYO 4-3-3

MAC · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · LYO

34 Farchi

📊 Statistics

MAC 0 – 6 LYO

33%

Possession (%)

67%

0.46

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

4.34

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Lyon won 6–0 away at Maccabi Tel Aviv. At half-time it was 0–3.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 4.34 to 0.46. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 5, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 3 to 0. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 6 from 4.34 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 16 graded markets, 7 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.42 units (Brier 0.178).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

16 · 7 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.00	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.30	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.12	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.00	—	52%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.94	—	52%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
Draw	4.00	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.38	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.29	—	75%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	90%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.75	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.23	—	75%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.25	—	28%	Cashed	+2.25	Cashed
Away Win	1.81	—	50%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.85	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.45	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.75	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 16 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 9 L	−3.42u	−21% ROI