Match FC Midtjylland vs Celtic November 6, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 2.17 — +11.0% better than the market.

Midtjylland arrive steadier at both ends and carry stronger recent output at home, while Celtic trade control spells with a more selective chance profile. Expect a measured first hour, with the hosts slightly more likely to edge territory and set-pieces. Safer angles lean toward the home side (with insurance) and conservative totals unless an early goal flips game state.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 2.17 ✓ Cashed

AI 51% Implied 46% +1.17u

+117%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MID 4-2-3-1 · CEL 4-2-3-1

MID · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · CEL

7 Djú

📊 Statistics

MID 3 – 1 CEL

61%

Possession (%)

39%

2.49

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.98

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

70%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Midtjylland beat Celtic 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.49 to 0.98. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 5, 12 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 9 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 21 graded markets, 11 landed and 10 missed, for a net -2.35 units (Brier 0.161).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

21 · 11 W · 10 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.17	—	51%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
Draw	3.82	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.42	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	57%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
BTTS No	2.39	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.23	—	78%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.75	—	55%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.25	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.75	—	34%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.50	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.56	—	51%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.50	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home -1	3.05	—	22%	Cashed	+2.05	Cashed
AH Home +1	1.12	—	77%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
AH Home +2	1.01	—	92%	Cashed	+0.01	Cashed
AH Home -2	6.80	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.37	—	77%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.77	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 21 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	11 W · 10 L	−2.35u	−11% ROI