Match Fenerbahçe vs Nice October 2, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.19 — +7.3% better than the market.

Fenerbahce vs Nice — match preview, probabilities & betting insights. The hosts bring stronger recent output at home and a reliable supply line in wide areas, but Nice arrive battle-tested from a tougher weekly environment and can punish turnovers through quick breaks. Expect Fenerbahce to control longer spells, while Nice look to spring the half-spaces and lean on restarts.

Game script & totals. Baseline scoring is modest-to-medium: first-half caution and compact lines keep margins fine. Safer protection clusters around X2 and selective unders; the higher-variance stance is the away win if transitions bite or a set piece swings it. Swing factors: early goal timing, discipline, and how well Fenerbahce protect defensive rest.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.19 ✗ Lost

AI 49% Implied 46% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

FEN 4-3-3 · NIC 4-3-3

FEN · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · NIC

9 Aktürkoğlu

📊 Statistics

FEN 2 – 1 NIC

60%

Possession (%)

40%

1.59

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.22

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

77%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Fenerbahçe beat Nice 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 9, 5 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 5 graded markets, 1 landed and 4 missed, for a net -3.22 units (Brier 0.219).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

5 · 1 W · 4 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	4.75	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.20	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.19	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.21	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.78	—	47%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
Total · 5 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	1 W · 4 L	−3.22u	−64% ROI