Match FC Midtjylland vs Vejle October 19, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.70 — +3.9% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

FC Midtjylland is expected to leverage their overall strength and home advantage against Vejle. With an estimated 70.68% chance of winning, the odds of 1.44 reflect a solid opportunity for a home win. The match is likely to see goals, with a 61.64% probability for over 2.5 goals, suggesting an attacking game. A balanced defensive shape from Vejle could lead to a competitive match, but Midtjylland's form trend favors them.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.70 ✗ Lost

AI 61% Implied 59% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

MID 3-4-2-1 · VEJ 4-2-3-1

MID · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · VEJ

7 Franculino

📊 Statistics

MID 5 – 1 VEJ

64%

Possession (%)

36%

1.66

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.68

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

75%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Midtjylland beat Vejle 5–1 at home. At half-time it was 4–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.66 to 0.68. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 10, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 1. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 5 from 1.66 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.56 units (Brier 0.109).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.70	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.44	—	71%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.12	—	90%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.65	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.50	—	62%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Draw	5.10	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	7.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.73	—	54%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	96%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Under 0.5	19.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.16	—	83%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.50	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.30	—	39%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.95	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.16	—	71%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
AH Away 0	5.30	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.56u	−33% ROI