Match Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach March 8, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.81 — +14.9% better than the market.

Sturm Graz holds a clear quality edge and a moderate home advantage, which should help them control the tempo at Merkur-Arena. Despite their patchy recent form, their offensive edge against Altach's leaky defense suggests they can create chances. Altach's solid recent results hint at resilience, but their defensive struggles away could be exploited.

Home momentum with a pressing edge
Sturm's attack vs Altach's defense mismatch
Likely a cautious pace with under 2.5 goals favored

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.81 ✓ Cashed

AI 63% Implied 55% +0.81u

+81%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

STU 3-4-2-1 · ALT 3-4-3

STU · 3-4-2-1 3-4-3 · ALT

20 Jatta

📊 Statistics

STU 2 – 0 ALT

48%

Possession (%)

52%

1.30

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.53

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

66%

Pass Accuracy (%)

65%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sturm Graz beat SCR Altach 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.30 to 0.53. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.02 units (Brier 0.102).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.81	—	63%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.63	—	69%	Cashed	+0.63	Cashed
Home Win	2.06	—	55%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.83	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.08	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.30	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.78	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.89	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.00	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.23	—	87%	Cashed	+0.23	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	82%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.42	—	57%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.46	—	55%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Draw	3.30	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.09	—	80%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Away Win	3.90	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.33	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.02u	−30% ROI