Match Sturm Graz vs Ried February 8, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.42 — +9.0% better than the market.

Sturm Graz hosts Ried with a clear quality edge, boosted by a solid home defensive record against Ried's modest attack. Despite recent mixed form, Sturm Graz's home momentum and defensive resilience suggest a controlled game. Ried's away struggles and less effective defense could be exploited, but their slightly better recent points per game hints at some resistance.

Home defensive solidity vs away attack
Sturm's home momentum despite patchy form
Lower scoring expectation given cautious pace

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 1.42 ✓ Cashed

AI 77% Implied 70% +0.42u

+42%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

STU 4-2-3-1 · RIE 3-4-1-2

STU · 4-2-3-1 3-4-1-2 · RIE

11 Kayombo

📊 Statistics

STU 1 – 0 RIE

54%

Possession (%)

46%

0.71

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.54

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

71%

Pass Accuracy (%)

66%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sturm Graz beat Ried 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 1.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.48 units (Brier 0.150).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.96	—	61%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
BTTS No	2.10	—	56%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Home Win	2.42	—	50%	Cashed	+1.42	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.74	—	50%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.62	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.05	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.25	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.42	—	77%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.49	—	38%	Cashed	+2.49	Cashed
Under 0.5	10.00	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.32	—	82%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Draw	3.55	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	86%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.33	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.25	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.52	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.48u	−9% ROI