Match Genk vs St. Truiden March 15, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.67 — +8.0% better than the market.

Genk hosts St. Truiden in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, backed by a stronger overall rating and offensive threat. Genk’s home advantage is moderate, but their defensive solidity faces a tough test against St. Truiden’s sharper attack. Recent form is close, with both sides showing mixed results, suggesting a balanced contest.

St. Truiden’s pressing and attacking edge could unlock Genk’s compact block.
Genk’s home momentum may help contain the visitors’ threat.
Expect a moderately paced game with chances on both ends.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.67 ✗ Lost

AI 65% Implied 60% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GEN 4-3-3 · TRU 4-3-3

GEN · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · TRU

10 Ito

📊 Statistics

GEN 1 – 0 TRU

36%

Possession (%)

64%

0.76

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.34

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

88%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Genk beat St. Truiden 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 64% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 8, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 5.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.05 units (Brier 0.278).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.67	—	65%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.43	—	40%	Cashed	+1.43	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.67	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.62	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.24	—	42%	Cashed	+1.24	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.26	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.24	—	35%	Cashed	+1.24	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.67	—	35%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Away Win	3.05	—	40%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.50	—	64%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.39	—	60%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	94%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.55	—	20%	Cashed	+3.55	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.05u	+0% ROI