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Home Belgium Jupiler Pro League Dender — Charleroi

Predictions Dender vs Charleroi March 7, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Belgium   /   Jupiler Pro League Value pick inside
Dender
Dender
Home · last 5 L W L L D
Kick-off
Sat 07 Mar · 17:15
2:2
Full-time
Charleroi
Charleroi
W W L D W Away · last 5
Dender Football Complex · Denderleeuw Referee Jan Boterberg, Belgium
Home Win · DEN
21%
Best 3.40
Draw
26%
Best 3.40
Away Win · CHA
53%
Best 2.07
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.60
Fair odds
3.15
book 3.60 · +14.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 32% · EV +14.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (68%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 52.6%
Odds 2.23
Show model details
Implied probability 44.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 21%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 58%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 42.1%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 31.7%
Odds 3.60
Show model details
Implied probability 27.8%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 10.3%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 77.3%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.7%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 22.7%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 52.7%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 47.4%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 21%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 47.4%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 79%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
DEN – CHA @ 3.60
+14.3%
Edge
Forecast →