Match Genk vs Gent March 1, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.25 — +13.8% better than the market.

Genk hosts Gent in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge and slightly better recent form. Gent's sharper attack faces a Genk defense that has been somewhat vulnerable, suggesting chances for both sides. Genk's home momentum and compact block could keep the game tight, but Gent's pressing edge and higher offensive output hint at a lively contest with goals likely.

Gent's offensive threat vs Genk's defense
Genk's home resilience balancing Gent's form
Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical battles

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 2.25 ✗ Lost

AI 51% Implied 44% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GEN 4-2-3-1 · GEN 4-2-3-1

GEN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · GEN

29 Mirisola

📊 Statistics

GEN 3 – 0 GEN

46%

Possession (%)

54%

1.81

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.64

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Genk beat Gent 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.81 to 0.64.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.13 units (Brier 0.143).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.25	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.65	—	59%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.60	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.30	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.23	—	42%	Cashed	+1.23	Cashed
Home Win	1.70	—	49%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Away Win	4.86	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.53	—	63%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.21	—	72%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.67	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	80%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Draw	4.19	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.60	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.29	—	49%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.13u	−30% ROI