Match Genk vs Cercle Brugge January 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 4.00 — +13.1% better than the market.

Genk hosts Cercle Brugge in a tightly matched Jupiler Pro League clash. The teams show near-equal quality, but Genk enjoys a mild home edge thanks to a more compact defense and slightly better home form. Cercle Brugge's sharper attack faces a resilient Genk backline, promising tactical battles in midfield and on the flanks.

Genk's home momentum and defensive solidity
Cercle Brugge's attacking threat against a disciplined defense
Moderate pace expected with balanced goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 4.00 ✗ Lost

AI 28% Implied 25% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GEN 4-2-3-1 · CER 4-2-2-2

GEN · 4-2-3-1 4-2-2-2 · CER

23 Bibout

📊 Statistics

GEN 1 – 1 CER

56%

Possession (%)

44%

0.95

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.40

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Genk and Cercle Brugge drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 0.95 to 0.40. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.32 units (Brier 0.164).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.95	—	53%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS No	2.30	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.75	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.17	—	44%	Cashed	+1.17	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.68	—	57%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.80	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.93	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.00	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.47	—	66%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	72%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.92	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.42	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.25	—	79%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.83	—	24%	Cashed	+2.83	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.70	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.32u	−14% ROI