Match Anderlecht vs Charleroi December 26, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.80 — +10.1% better than the market.

Anderlecht holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Charleroi, who struggle to match their offensive threat. Anderlecht's sharper attack faces a slightly leaky Charleroi defense, suggesting a tactical advantage upfront. Recent form favors Anderlecht with more consistent points, while the pace hints at a moderately open game with chances on both ends.

Home side's stronger offensive firepower
Charleroi's defensive vulnerabilities
Anderlecht's better recent form and home comfort

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.80 ✗ Lost

AI 61% Implied 56% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AND 4-2-3-1 · CHA 4-2-3-1

AND · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · CHA

9 Cvetković

📊 Statistics

AND 1 – 2 CHA

61%

Possession (%)

39%

1.41

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.73

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

72%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Charleroi won 2–1 away at Anderlecht. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 13, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.71 units (Brier 0.280).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.80	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.07	—	48%	Cashed	+1.07	Cashed
BTTS No	1.92	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.86	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.96	—	49%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.14	—	39%	Cashed	+1.14	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.20	—	86%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.30	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	91%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.34	—	73%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.60	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.31	—	73%	Cashed	+0.31	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.59	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	10.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.10	—	14%	Cashed	+4.10	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.71	—	14%	Cashed	+2.71	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.71u	+10% ROI