Match Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen November 1, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.64 — +6.9% better than the market.

Anderlecht holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, backed by a solid defensive record that could stifle KV Mechelen’s attack. Their slightly better recent form and home advantage suggest control over the match tempo. Expect a tactical battle where Anderlecht’s compact block and set-piece threat may prove decisive.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive pressure
Anderlecht’s home rhythm and recent form edge
Moderate pace hint favors structured play over open end-to-end

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.64 ✓ Cashed

AI 65% Implied 61% +0.64u

+64%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AND 4-2-3-1 · MEC 3-4-3

AND · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · MEC

9 Cvetkovic

📊 Statistics

AND 3 – 1 MEC

44%

Possession (%)

56%

1.95

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.17

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Anderlecht beat KV Mechelen 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.95 to 1.17. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 7, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.37 units (Brier 0.131).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.64	—	65%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.23	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.72	—	56%	Cashed	+0.72	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.75	—	55%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.80	—	34%	Cashed	+1.80	Cashed
BTTS No	2.10	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.37	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.18	—	86%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.48	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.25	—	65%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.24	—	79%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.50	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.50	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	14.20	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	5.50	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.13	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.37u	−26% ROI