Match Liverpool vs Chelsea May 9, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.94 — +14.6% better than the market.

Liverpool arrive with a clear edge at Anfield, buoyed by stronger recent form and a notable home momentum. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Chelsea's struggles, while Liverpool's attacking threat faces a less resilient Chelsea backline. The pace hints at a lively encounter, supported by historical dominance and a pressing edge on home turf.

Home crowd energy and tactical discipline favor Liverpool
Chelsea's recent form suggests vulnerability under pressure
Potential for open play with both sides seeking goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.94 ✗ Lost

AI 59% Implied 52% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

LIV 1 – 1 CHE

49%

Possession (%)

51%

0.51

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.47

8

Total Shots

6

3

Shots on Target

3

4

Shots off Target

2

5

Shots Inside Box

4

5

Corner Kicks

2

Offsides

2

17

Fouls

17

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

2

Yellow Cards

4

2

Goalkeeper Saves

2

⏱ Match events

13 · 1 – 1

R. Gravenberch

Assist · R. Ngumoha · 1–0

⚽

6'

35'

⚽

E. Fernandez

1–1

Half-time · 1 – 1

63'

⇄

R. James ↓ · Andrey Santos ↑

Substitution 1

A. Isak ↓ · R. Ngumoha ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

67'

▮

J. Hato

Yellow Card

71'

▮

C. McFarlane

Yellow Card

73'

▮

E. Fernandez

Yellow Card

J. Gomez ↓ · I. Konate ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

77'

F. Chiesa ↓ · C. Gakpo ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

83'

▮

M. Cucurella

Yellow Card

J. Gomez

Yellow Card

▮

88'

89'

▮

M. Caicedo

Yellow Card

A. Mac Allister

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Liverpool and Chelsea drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Gravenberch (6'), E. Fernandez (35').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.49 units (Brier 0.194).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.94	1.95	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.81	1.62	56%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.80	2.50	34%	Cashed	+1.80	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.17	2.30	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.96	1.84	41%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.47	1.50	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.30	1.29	82%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
BTTS No	2.88	2.50	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.44	1.52	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.44	1.50	65%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	1.02	96%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.12	1.13	85%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.00	5.00	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.06	3.82	23%	Cashed	+3.06	Cashed
Under 0.5	21.00	16.95	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.99	2.70	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.94	3.77	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.49u	−9% ROI