🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward both teams to score — 60% probability.
Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 59%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
With limited recent form data, this Premier League opener at Craven Cottage hints at a balanced contest. Chelsea may hold a slight edge given their historical stature, but Fulham's home comfort could neutralize that advantage. The odds suggest a moderately open game with a tendency towards goals, indicating both sides might press forward actively.
- Home side's familiarity with the pitch offers a tactical edge.
- Chelsea's experience could influence midfield battles.
- Market odds favor a lively match with over 2.5 goals likely.
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 46% | Chelsea win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 59% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 60% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 71% | X2 |
- 1X2 Chelsea win 46%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59%
- BTTS Yes 60%
- Double Chance X2 71%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Home Win · 3.35 ↑ 3.75 (+12%)
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Fulham
W/D/L
2-1-2
Goals (for / against)
4 / 5
Avg goals / match
1.8
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
1/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
xG (for / against)
1.19 / 1.21
Chelsea
W/D/L
1-1-3
Goals (for / against)
5 / 10
Avg goals / match
3.0
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
4/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
xG (for / against)
0.86 / 1.68
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Fulham wins when scoring first
100%
①
Chelsea wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Fulham BTTS rate · last 10
20%
⚽
Chelsea BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Fulham Over 2.5 · last 10
20%
↑
Chelsea Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
Fulham comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Chelsea comeback rate · last 10
0%
🔥 Goal timing
Fulham · last 10 at home
0–15
7%
16–30
14%
31–45
14%
46–60
7%
61–75
21%
76–90
36%
Chelsea · last 10 away
0–15
7%
16–30
0%
31–45
43%
46–60
21%
61–75
21%
76–90
7%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.