Match Samsunspor vs Göztepe May 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.20 — +10.4% better than the market.

Samsunspor shows strong home momentum with recent wins and a solid attacking edge against Goztepe's defense. Despite Goztepe's slightly higher overall quality, Samsunspor's home form and pressing style could keep the match tight. The pace hints at a moderately open game but not overly high scoring.

Home side's recent winning streak fuels confidence
Goztepe's defensive resilience tested by Samsunspor's offense
Balanced tempo suggests a tactical, compact encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 4.20 ✗ Lost

AI 26% Implied 24% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SAM 4-2-3-1 · GOZ 3-4-1-2

SAM · 4-2-3-1 3-4-1-2 · GOZ

9 Mouandilmadji

📊 Statistics

SAM 3 – 0 GOZ

62%

Possession (%)

38%

1.98

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.20

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

70%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Samsunspor beat Göztepe 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 79% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 14, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 4 to 0. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.59 units (Brier 0.198).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.60	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.14	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.30	—	47%	Cashed	+1.30	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.10	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.77	—	49%	Cashed	+0.77	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.60	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.43	—	32%	Cashed	+1.43	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.80	—	32%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Away Win	2.87	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.20	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.40	—	72%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.45	—	57%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.88	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.10	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	92%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.68	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	74%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.59u	−21% ROI