Match Kayserispor vs Rizespor April 25, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 4.05 — +13.5% better than the market.

Rizespor enters this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Kayserispor's defensive solidity at home could keep things tight, but Rizespor's sharper attack versus a vulnerable home defense hints at scoring opportunities. The match may see a moderate tempo, with both sides cautious but looking to exploit set-pieces and transitional moments.

Rizespor's offensive edge against Kayserispor's defense
Home side's recent struggles balanced by home crowd support
Potential for a tactical battle with limited goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 4.05 ✗ Lost

AI 28% Implied 25% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

KAY 4-2-3-1 · RIZ 4-1-4-1

KAY · 4-2-3-1 4-1-4-1 · RIZ

9 Onugkha

📊 Statistics

KAY 2 – 0 RIZ

43%

Possession (%)

57%

1.36

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.97

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

71%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Kayserispor beat Rizespor 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 81% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 11, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.89 units (Brier 0.209).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.54	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.12	—	52%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
BTTS No	2.26	—	48%	Cashed	+1.26	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.85	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.72	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.62	—	28%	Cashed	+1.62	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.75	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.94	—	28%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.45	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.05	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.42	—	73%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.50	—	54%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.55	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	91%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.45	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	—	72%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.89u	−17% ROI