Match Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor April 27, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.82 — +6.3% better than the market.

Alanyaspor hosts Samsunspor in a Süper Lig clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge, suggesting a tactical battle. Alanyaspor’s home form shows resilience, but Samsunspor’s recent momentum and sharper attack could challenge the hosts’ compact defense. The pace may be moderate, favoring a cautious approach with set-piece opportunities likely to be key.

Alanyaspor’s defensive solidity at home
Samsunspor’s attacking threat and recent form
Balanced tempo hinting at a tactical midfield contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.82 ✗ Lost

AI 58% Implied 55% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ALA 3-4-3 · SAM 3-4-2-1

ALA · 3-4-3 3-4-2-1 · SAM

16 Ui-Jo

📊 Statistics

ALA 2 – 3 SAM

48%

Possession (%)

52%

1.10

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.54

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Samsunspor won 3–2 away at Alanyaspor. At half-time it was 0–2.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 12, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 12 to 5. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.04 units (Brier 0.248).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.82	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.00	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.28	—	39%	Cashed	+1.28	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.08	—	42%	Cashed	+1.08	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.80	—	47%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Home Win	2.47	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.69	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.58	—	67%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Away Win	3.32	—	39%	Cashed	+2.32	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.40	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.25	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	89%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.30	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.33	—	67%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.50	—	22%	Cashed	+2.50	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.04u	−0% ROI