Match Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest April 24, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 0.5 at 9.50 — +14.7% better than the market.

Sunderland holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a solid home defensive setup, which could frustrate Nottingham Forest’s attack. Sunderland’s recent form shows resilience, while Forest’s slightly better offensive numbers may struggle against a compact block. The pace hints at a moderately controlled game with limited goal-scoring chances.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive pressure
Recent form favors Sunderland’s momentum
Moderate tempo suggests fewer open chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 0.5

Under 0.5 @ 9.50 ✗ Lost

AI 12% Implied 11% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SUN 4-2-3-1 · NOT 4-4-2

SUN · 4-2-3-1 4-4-2 · NOT

9 Brobbey

Subs used · SUN

46'

Mandava ↑ ·

Rigg ↓

65'

Isidor ↑ ·

Diarra ↓

Subs used · NOT

46'

Dominguez ↑ ·

Sangare ↓

50'

Morato ↑ ·

Cunha ↓

67'

Yates ↑ ·

Jesus ↓

67'

Netz ↑ ·

Hutchinson ↓

88'

Awoniyi ↑ ·

Wood ↓

📊 Statistics

SUN 0 – 5 NOT

61%

Possession (%)

39%

0.67

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.30

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

72%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 0 – 5

17'

⚽

T. Hume

Own goal · 0–1

31'

⚽

C. Wood

Assist · M. Gibbs-White · 0–2

34'

⚽

M. Gibbs-White

Assist · Igor Jesus · 0–3

37'

⚽

Igor Jesus

0–4

Half-time · 0 – 4

R. Mandava ↓ · C. Rigg ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

⇄

N. Dominguez ↓ · I. Sangare ↑

Substitution 1

50'

⇄

Morato ↓ · Cunha ↑

Substitution 2

Habib Diarra

Yellow Card

▮

51'

▮

Nicolás Domínguez

Yellow Card

58'

▮

Elliot Anderson

Yellow Card

60'

▮

Igor Jesus

Yellow Card

W. Isidor ↓ · H. Diarra ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

65'

67'

⇄

R. Yates ↓ · Igor Jesus ↑

Substitution 3

67'

⇄

L. Netz ↓ · O. Hutchinson ↑

Substitution 4

69'

▮

Neco Williams

Yellow Card

Granit Xhaka

Yellow Card

▮

75'

76'

▮

Ryan Yates

Yellow Card

88'

⇄

T. Awoniyi ↓ · C. Wood ↑

Substitution 5

90'

⚽

E. Anderson

Assist · T. Awoniyi · 0–5

Full-time · 0 – 5

Match recap

Nottingham Forest won 5–0 away at Sunderland. At half-time it was 0–4.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 61% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 81% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.30 to 0.67. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 4 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 5 from 1.30 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: T. Hume (17'), C. Wood (31'), M. Gibbs-White (34'), Igor Jesus (37'), E. Anderson (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.30 units (Brier 0.291).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.81	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.00	—	56%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
Home Win	2.80	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.98	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.19	—	38%	Cashed	+1.19	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.85	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.75	—	29%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.96	—	29%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.51	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.28	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.29	—	81%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.50	—	56%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.50	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.08	—	88%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Draw	3.39	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.37	—	64%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.85	—	19%	Cashed	+2.85	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.30u	−2% ROI

Match Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest April 24, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 0.5 at 9.50 — +14.7% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled