Match Başakşehir vs Göztepe March 7, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.96 — +13.1% better than the market.

Istanbul Basaksehir holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Goztepe. Their sharper attack faces a vulnerable away defense, while Basaksehir’s compact block should limit Goztepe’s chances. Recent form favors the hosts, who have been more consistent, suggesting a controlled tempo with moderate goal potential.

Home attacking pressure vs. away defensive struggles
Stronger recent form and home comfort
Likely tactical discipline to restrict goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.96 ✓ Cashed

AI 58% Implied 51% +0.96u

+96%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

IST 3-1-4-2 · GOZ 3-4-1-2

IST · 3-1-4-2 3-4-1-2 · GOZ

14 Shomurodov

📊 Statistics

IST 2 – 1 GOZ

55%

Possession (%)

45%

0.98

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

3.09

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

71%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Başakşehir beat Göztepe 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.09 to 0.98. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 7, 9 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.65 units (Brier 0.122).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.96	—	58%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
BTTS No	2.08	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.92	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.06	—	47%	Cashed	+1.06	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.90	—	50%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.92	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.26	—	83%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.40	—	58%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.55	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.34	—	74%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.08	—	91%	Cashed	+0.08	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.35	—	72%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.55	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.55	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.09	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.26	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.65u	−27% ROI