Match Rizespor vs Kocaelispor February 20, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.14 — +12.3% better than the market.

Rizespor hosts Kocaelispor in a Süper Lig clash where home momentum is modest but notable. Rizespor’s defensive solidity contrasts with Kocaelispor’s struggles to break down opponents, suggesting a tactical battle focused on compactness. The home side’s slight edge in quality and a pressing advantage at Çaykur Didi Stadyumu could limit away chances.

Rizespor’s defense is more robust than Kocaelispor’s attack
Home form shows signs of resilience despite recent draws
Match likely to be moderately paced with a cautious approach

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.14 ✗ Lost

AI 36% Implied 32% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RIZ 4-3-3 · KOC 4-2-3-1

RIZ · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · KOC

7 Mihăilă

📊 Statistics

RIZ 2 – 0 KOC

47%

Possession (%)

53%

1.05

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.66

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Rizespor beat Kocaelispor 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.87 units (Brier 0.125).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.91	—	57%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Home Win	2.50	—	47%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.74	—	62%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.80	—	47%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.19	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.90	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.16	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.14	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.42	—	74%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.40	—	64%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.57	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.06	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	8.50	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.27	—	81%	Cashed	+0.27	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.09	—	88%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Draw	3.35	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.87	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.87u	−23% ROI