Match Alanyaspor vs Başakşehir February 21, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.47 — +8.1% better than the market.

Istanbul Basaksehir arrives with a clear quality edge and a sharper attack against Alanyaspor’s leaky defense. Despite Alanyaspor’s home momentum and compact block, the visitors’ pressing and recent form suggest they can control the game tempo. Expect a tactical battle where Basaksehir’s offensive threat and superior strength may unlock chances, while Alanyaspor relies on set-piece opportunities to stay competitive.

Basaksehir’s attacking edge vs Alanyaspor’s defense
Home side’s resilience and set-piece threat
Recent form favors visitors’ momentum

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.47 ✓ Cashed

AI 74% Implied 68% +0.47u

+47%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

ALA 3-4-2-1 · IST 4-2-3-1

ALA · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · IST

10 Yalçın

📊 Statistics

ALA 1 – 2 IST

53%

Possession (%)

47%

0.92

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

3.70

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Başakşehir won 2–1 away at Alanyaspor. At half-time it was 0–2.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.70 to 0.92. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 10 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.73 units (Brier 0.140).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.55	—	47%	Cashed	+1.55	Cashed
BTTS No	2.25	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.00	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.94	—	49%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.73	—	53%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.84	—	47%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.07	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.47	—	74%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.55	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.89	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.86	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.38	—	72%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	92%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.30	—	74%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.55	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.25	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.73u	−22% ROI

Match Alanyaspor vs Başakşehir February 21, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.47 — +8.1% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled