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Home England Premier League Fulham — Aston Villa

Predictions Fulham vs Aston Villa April 25, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Fulham
Fulham
Home · last 5 W L L D W
Kick-off
Sat 25 Apr · 11:30
1:0
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
L L D W W Away · last 5
Craven Cottage · London Referee M. Oliver
Home Win · FUL
28%
Best 2.65
Draw
25%
Best 3.64
Away Win · AST
47%
Best 2.75
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.33
Fair odds
3.94
book 4.33 · +9.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 25% · EV +9.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (75%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 47.1%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 27.9%
Odds 2.78
Show model details
Implied probability 36%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 25%
Odds 3.74
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 49.9%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 25.4%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 71.3%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 28.7%
Odds 2.95
Show model details
Implied probability 33.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.6%
Odds 13.50
Show model details
Implied probability 7.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 74.7%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 45.9%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 47.1%
Odds 1.90
Show model details
Implied probability 52.6%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 27.9%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 72.1%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality High
Double Chance 1X
Probability 52.9%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
FUL – AST @ 4.33
+9.8%
Edge
Forecast →