Match Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor January 30, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.40 — +10.9% better than the market.

Samsunspor arrives with a clear quality edge and a stronger recent form, despite Kasimpasa's home advantage. The visitors' offensive edge against Kasimpasa's leaky defense suggests they can break through, while Kasimpasa's compact block might limit goal chances. The pace hints at a moderately open game, but expect Samsunspor to press for control.

Samsunspor's superior attacking potential vs Kasimpasa's defense
Home side's slight momentum but defensive vulnerabilities
Moderate tempo likely favors disciplined away side

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.40 ✓ Cashed

AI 33% Implied 29% +2.40u

+240%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

KAS 4-1-4-1 · SAM 4-2-3-1

KAS · 4-1-4-1 4-2-3-1 · SAM

77 Gueye

📊 Statistics

KAS 0 – 1 SAM

52%

Possession (%)

48%

1.17

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.72

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

85%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Samsunspor won 1–0 away at Kasımpaşa. At half-time it was 0–0.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.91 units (Brier 0.159).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.33	—	52%	Cashed	+1.33	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.82	—	59%	Cashed	+0.82	Cashed
BTTS No	1.99	—	53%	Cashed	+0.99	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.81	—	52%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.12	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.88	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.70	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.55	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.37	—	79%	Cashed	+0.37	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.40	—	33%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.30	—	79%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	89%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Draw	3.47	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.38	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.80	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.55	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.91u	−11% ROI