Match Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor December 1, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.87 — +11.3% better than the market.

Samsunspor arrives with clear home momentum, boasting a solid defensive edge and better recent form compared to Alanyaspor. Their pressing and compact block should challenge Alanyaspor’s attack, which has struggled to convert chances consistently. The home side’s offensive strength against Alanyaspor’s defense suggests a tactical upper hand, while the game’s pace hints at a balanced tempo, likely producing a competitive but controlled encounter.

Home defensive solidity vs away attack
Recent form advantage for Samsunspor
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.87 ✗ Lost

AI 60% Implied 53% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SAM 4-1-4-1 · ALA 3-4-2-1

SAM · 4-1-4-1 3-4-2-1 · ALA

1 Koçuk

18 Yavru

24 Borevković

4 Drongelen

17 Tomasson

19 Ndiaye

📊 Statistics

SAM 1 – 1 ALA

52%

Possession (%)

48%

0.41

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.71

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Samsunspor and Alanyaspor drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.48 units (Brier 0.176).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.87	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.02	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.98	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.94	—	50%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.90	—	51%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.02	—	40%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.24	—	84%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.36	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.07	—	92%	Cashed	+0.07	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.32	—	74%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.35	—	72%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.70	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.40	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.68	—	25%	Cashed	+2.68	Cashed
Under 0.5	11.40	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.57	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.25	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.48u	−15% ROI