Match Excelsior vs FC Volendam May 10, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.30 — +13.4% better than the market.

Excelsior hosts FC Volendam in a tight Eredivisie clash where defensive solidity stands out. Both sides show similar quality, but Excelsior’s home edge and recent form suggest a compact, cautious game. Expect a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances as both teams have strong defensive setups and moderate attacking threat.

Excelsior’s home momentum and better recent form
Close quality levels with slight defensive strengths
Odds hint at a controlled pace and under 2.5 goals likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.30 ✗ Lost

AI 49% Implied 43% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

EXC 4-3-3 · VOL 4-2-3-1

EXC · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · VOL

7 Hansson

📊 Statistics

EXC 1 – 1 VOL

67%

Possession (%)

33%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

62%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Excelsior and FC Volendam drew 1–1. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 67% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 84% of their passes. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 5 to 0. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.02 units (Brier 0.170).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.40	—	50%	Cashed	+1.40	Cashed
BTTS No	2.30	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.10	—	50%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
Home Win	1.76	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.60	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.34	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.48	—	71%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.70	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.37	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	73%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.10	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.50	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.55	—	51%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	—	92%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	4.09	—	23%	Cashed	+3.09	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.12	—	74%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.28	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.02u	−12% ROI