Match Liverpool vs Fulham April 11, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.62 — +6.6% better than the market.

Liverpool hosts Fulham at Anfield with a clear quality edge and home momentum despite recent inconsistent form. Liverpool's defensive solidity contrasts with Fulham's less robust backline, suggesting a pressing edge for the hosts. Fulham's recent wins hint at resilience, but Liverpool's attacking threat and home comfort should dominate.

Home defensive strength vs away attack
Fulham's recent form uplift
Moderate pace expected with balanced goal potential

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 1.62 ✓ Cashed

AI 66% Implied 62% +0.62u

+62%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LIV 4-2-3-1 · FUL 4-2-3-1

LIV · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · FUL

18 Gakpo

Subs used · LIV

46'

Gravenberch ↑ ·

Jones ↓

68'

Mac Allister ↑ ·

Wirtz ↓

69'

Gomez ↑ ·

Frimpong ↓

69'

Isak ↑ ·

Ngumoha ↓

90'

Nyoni ↑ ·

Salah ↓

Subs used · FUL

46'

Lukic ↑ ·

Bobb ↓

46'

Smith Rowe ↑ ·

King ↓

69'

Sessegnon ↑ ·

Robinson ↓

80'

Jimenez ↑ ·

Muniz ↓

80'

Chukwueze ↑ ·

Wilson ↓

📊 Statistics

LIV 2 – 0 FUL

53%

Possession (%)

47%

1.81

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.09

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

12 · 2 – 0

R. Ngumoha

Assist · F. Wirtz · 1–0

⚽

36'

M. Salah

Assist · C. Gakpo · 2–0

⚽

40'

Half-time · 2 – 0

R. Gravenberch ↓ · C. Jones ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

⇄

S. Lukic ↓ · O. Bobb ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

E. Smith Rowe ↓ · J. King ↑

Substitution 2

A. Mac Allister ↓ · F. Wirtz ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

68'

J. Gomez ↓ · J. Frimpong ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

69'

A. Isak ↓ · R. Ngumoha ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

69'

⇄

R. Sessegnon ↓ · A. Robinson ↑

Substitution 3

80'

⇄

R. Jimenez ↓ · Rodrigo Muniz ↑

Substitution 4

80'

⇄

S. Chukwueze ↓ · H. Wilson ↑

Substitution 5

T. Nyoni ↓ · M. Salah ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90'

Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Liverpool beat Fulham 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.81 to 1.09. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 6.

On the scoresheet: R. Ngumoha (36'), M. Salah (40').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.05 units (Brier 0.127).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.62	—	66%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.57	—	41%	Cashed	+1.57	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.66	—	63%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
BTTS No	2.45	—	42%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.61	—	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.41	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.44	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.19	—	86%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.55	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.25	—	66%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.40	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	19.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	95%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	4.67	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.18	—	80%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Away Win	5.40	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.22	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.05u	−24% ROI