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Home England Premier League Manchester United — Leeds

Predictions Manchester United vs Leeds April 13, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Manchester United
Manchester United
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Mon 13 Apr · 19:00
1:2
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D W D W L Away · last 5
Old Trafford · Manchester Referee Paul Tierney, England
Home Win · MUN
65%
Best 1.62
Draw
22%
Best 4.14
Away Win · LEE
13%
Best 5.12
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.68
Fair odds
1.55
book 1.68 · +8.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 65% · EV +8.7%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 21.9%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 13.4%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 56.5%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 34.4%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 65.7%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.9%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 78.7%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.3%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.1%
Odds 14.10
Show model details
Implied probability 7.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.9%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS No
Probability 45.1%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 13.4%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 35.3%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.6%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
MUN – LEE @ 1.68
+8.7%
Edge
Forecast →