Match Telstar vs Groningen April 4, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.53 — +7.9% better than the market.

Telstar hosts Groningen in a clash where the visitors hold a quality edge and a pressing defensive advantage. Groningen’s stronger defensive record and slightly better recent form suggest they can control the game’s rhythm, despite Telstar’s home momentum and compact block. Expect a tactical battle with moderate goal potential given the balanced attacking matchups and odds hinting at a steady tempo.

Groningen’s defensive solidity challenges Telstar’s attack
Home side’s recent wins boost confidence
Moderate pace likely with tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.53 ✓ Cashed

AI 71% Implied 65% +0.53u

+53%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

STO 3-4-2-1 · GRO 4-2-3-1

STO · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · GRO

19 Þórisson

📊 Statistics

STO 0 – 2 GRO

50%

Possession (%)

50%

1.28

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.37

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

76%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Groningen won 2–0 away at Telstar. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.37 to 1.28. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 14, 11 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 12 to 5. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.04 units (Brier 0.178).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.60	—	46%	Cashed	+1.60	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.68	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.47	—	40%	Cashed	+1.47	Cashed
BTTS No	2.63	—	38%	Cashed	+1.63	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.60	—	62%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.60	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.90	—	46%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Home Win	2.65	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.02	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.53	—	71%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.50	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.55	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.19	—	81%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.04	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.90	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.04u	−12% ROI