Match Groningen vs PSV Eindhoven February 8, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.57 — +8.3% better than the market.

PSV Eindhoven arrives at Euroborg with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger attack against Groningen's leaky defense. Despite Groningen's slight home momentum, PSV's pressing and offensive firepower should challenge the hosts' compact block. The recent form gap favors Groningen slightly, but PSV's overall strength and higher xG suggest a likely away win in a match leaning towards goals.

PSV's superior offensive index vs Groningen's defense
Home edge for Groningen is mild but offset by quality gap
Odds and xG hint at a lively, goal-rich encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.57 ✓ Cashed

AI 69% Implied 64% +0.57u

+57%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

GRO 4-4-2 · PSV 4-4-2

GRO · 4-4-2 4-4-2 · PSV

26 Bergen

📊 Statistics

GRO 1 – 2 PSV

37%

Possession (%)

63%

0.89

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.74

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

PSV Eindhoven won 2–1 away at Groningen. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 86% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.74 to 0.89. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 8, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 11 to 6.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.77 units (Brier 0.084).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.68	—	64%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.38	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	65%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
BTTS No	2.50	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.65	—	52%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.38	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.60	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.57	—	69%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.20	—	85%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.30	—	64%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.18	—	87%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	97%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	4.56	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.80	—	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	5.00	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	21.00	—	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.93	—	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.77u	−34% ROI