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Home Netherlands Eredivisie GO Ahead Eagles — Heerenveen

Match GO Ahead Eagles vs Heerenveen February 11, 2026 — Result and Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
Home · last 5 D D D L L
Kick-off
Wed 11 Feb · 17:45
1:3
Full-time
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
W W L D L Away · last 5
De Adelaarshorst · Deventer Referee Robin Hensgens, Netherlands
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 50% · book 2.32
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 40% · book 2.55
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.34
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
0.74 – 1.82
Δ −1.08
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.44 — +8.6% better than the market.

Heerenveen arrive with a clear quality edge and a stronger attack, suggesting they can challenge GO Ahead Eagles' defense effectively. The home side's recent form shows some resilience but lacks cutting edge, while Heerenveen's away momentum and pressing style could unsettle the hosts. Expect a tactical battle with chances on both ends, especially given the balanced xG figures and moderate pace hint from the odds.

  • Heerenveen's offensive edge vs GO Ahead's defense
  • Home side's compact block but limited scoring form
  • Moderate tempo favors structured play and set-piece opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.44 ✓ Cashed
AI 75% Implied 69% +0.44u
+44%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

EAG 13 HEE
46%
Possession (%)
54%
0.74
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.82
12
Total Shots
19
5
Shots on Target
10
4
Shots off Target
2
8
Shots Inside Box
13
8
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
14
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
1
Yellow Cards
0
7
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Heerenveen won 3–1 away at GO Ahead Eagles. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.82 to 0.74. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 12, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.42 units (Brier 0.151).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.32 50% Cashed +1.32 Cashed
BTTS No 2.55 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.34 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.65 58% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.62 36% Cashed +1.62 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.73 50% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.64 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.19 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.44 75% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.55 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.57 60% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Home Win 3.00 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.80 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.21 80% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Draw 3.65 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.42u −20% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
EAG – HEE @ 1.44
+8.6%
Edge
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