Match FC Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam December 21, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.45 — +14.7% better than the market.

Sparta Rotterdam holds a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they can exploit Volendam's defensive vulnerabilities. The home side's defensive struggles contrast with Sparta's sharper attack, hinting at a pressing away threat. Despite Volendam's home ground, the tactical matchup favors the visitors, with a moderate pace expected given balanced xG figures.

Sparta's offensive edge against Volendam's leaky defense
Better recent form and away momentum for Sparta
Balanced tempo likely to produce a competitive contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.45 ✓ Cashed

AI 47% Implied 41% +1.45u

+145%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

VOL 4-2-3-1 · SPA 4-2-3-1

VOL · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · SPA

9 Veerman

📊 Statistics

VOL 0 – 1 SPA

39%

Possession (%)

61%

1.06

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.75

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sparta Rotterdam won 1–0 away at FC Volendam. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.75 to 1.06. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 12, 10 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 9 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.46 units (Brier 0.214).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.44	—	49%	Cashed	+1.44	Cashed
BTTS No	2.66	—	43%	Cashed	+1.66	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.45	—	47%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.84	—	49%	Cashed	+0.84	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.61	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.62	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.55	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.12	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.58	—	69%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.45	—	74%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.00	—	24%	Cashed	+4.00	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.50	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.87	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	—	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+1.46u	+9% ROI

Match FC Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam December 21, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.45 — +14.7% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled