Match Telstar vs Heerenveen October 19, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.47 — +6.4% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming clash between Telstar and Heerenveen, the away side appears to have a slight edge. Heerenveen's attacking profile suggests they are more likely to secure a win, with an estimated probability of 47.74% against the odds of 2.5. The match is expected to be competitive, with goals likely, as indicated by the Over 2.5 Goals market showing a 58.56% chance. Both teams are expected to find the net, making BTTS Yes a viable option.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 1.47 ✓ Cashed

AI 72% Implied 68% +0.47u

+47%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

STO 3-4-2-1 · HEE 4-2-3-1

STO · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · HEE

30 Tejan

📊 Statistics

STO 2 – 3 HEE

46%

Possession (%)

54%

2.73

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.71

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

75%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Heerenveen won 3–2 away at Telstar. At half-time it was 1–2.

From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 11 to 6. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.91 units (Brier 0.155).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.50	—	48%	Cashed	+1.50	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.47	—	72%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.69	—	59%	Cashed	+0.69	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	62%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.52	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.75	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.77	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.50	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	96%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.50	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	81%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.55	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.25	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.75	—	36%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.57	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	2.06	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.85	—	48%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.91u	−17% ROI