Match Utrecht vs FC Volendam October 18, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.55 — +13.0% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

Utrecht is expected to dominate against FC Volendam, with a strong home advantage and superior form. The likelihood of a home win is high, but the odds reflect this. The market suggests a cautious approach with potential value in defensive solidity and low-scoring outcomes.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 2.55 ✗ Lost

AI 44% Implied 39% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

UTR 4-2-3-1 · VOL 4-2-3-1

UTR · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · VOL

91 Haller

📊 Statistics

UTR 3 – 1 VOL

58%

Possession (%)

42%

2.54

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.46

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Utrecht beat FC Volendam 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.54 to 0.46. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 3, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 0.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.43 units (Brier 0.125).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 1.5	5.50	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.55	—	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.63	—	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.10	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.42	—	72%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.12	—	91%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Draw	5.20	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	8.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.79	—	51%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	—	95%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Under 0.5	18.50	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.18	—	79%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.55	—	56%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.35	—	34%	Cashed	+1.35	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.06	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.13	—	72%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
AH Away 0	5.90	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.43u	−32% ROI