Match NEC Nijmegen vs Twente October 18, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.60 — +14.2% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming clash between NEC Nijmegen and Twente, expect a dynamic encounter with a high likelihood of goals. Our analysis suggests a strong probability of over 2.5 goals, with NEC Nijmegen having a slight edge at home. Both teams are likely to find the net, making BTTS a viable option. The home side's attacking profile and Twente's defensive vulnerabilities could shape the match outcome.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.60 ✓ Cashed

AI 71% Implied 63% +0.60u

+60%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

NIJ 3-1-4-2 · TWE 4-2-3-1

NIJ · 3-1-4-2 4-2-3-1 · TWE

30 Linssen

📊 Statistics

NIJ 3 – 3 TWE

60%

Possession (%)

40%

0.68

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.98

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

72%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

NEC Nijmegen and Twente drew 3–3. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 83% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.98 to 0.68. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 0.68 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.37 units (Brier 0.137).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.42	—	52%	Cashed	+1.42	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.60	—	71%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Home Win	2.47	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.47	—	73%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.49	—	71%	Cashed	+0.49	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.19	—	88%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Draw	3.85	—	24%	Cashed	+2.85	Cashed
Away Win	2.79	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.70	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	97%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.00	—	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.50	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.48	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.61	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.57	—	52%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.83	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.07	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.37u	−14% ROI