Match Tondela vs GIL Vicente April 13, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 2.03 — +13.9% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 2.03 ✗ Lost

AI 56% Implied 49% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

TON 4-3-3 · VIC 4-4-2

TON · 4-3-3 4-4-2 · VIC

70 Moudjatovic

Subs used · TON

60'

Sithole ↑ ·

Ouattara ↓

60'

Aiko ↑ ·

Felix ↓

68'

van der Heide ↑ ·

Maranhao ↓

74'

Siebatcheu ↑ ·

Lopes ↓

75'

Manso ↑ ·

Bebeto ↓

Subs used · VIC

74'

Fernandez ↑ ·

Moreira ↓

85'

Fernandes ↑ ·

Souza ↓

85'

Eduardo ↑ ·

Varela ↓

📊 Statistics

TON 2 – 2 VIC

52%

Possession (%)

48%

1.73

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.67

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 2 – 2

Lucas Cañizares

Yellow Card

▮

-5'

Christian Marques

Yellow Card

▮

Rony Lopes

1–0

⚽

16'

29'

⚽

Murilo de Souza (P)

Penalty · 1–1

Half-time · 1 – 1

Moudjatovic

Yellow Card

▮

46'

57'

▮

Murilo Souza

Yellow Card

S. Sithole ↓ · M. Ouattara ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

60'

M. Aiko ↓ · H. Felix ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

60'

A. van der Heide ↓ · Pedro Maranhao ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

68'

J. Siebatcheu ↓ · Rony Lopes ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

74'

⇄

M. Fernandez ↓ · A. Moreira ↑

Substitution 1

T. Manso ↓ · Bebeto ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

75'

João Silva

Yellow Card

▮

79'

85'

⇄

J. Fernandes ↓ · Murilo de Souza ↑

Substitution 2

85'

⇄

Carlos Eduardo ↓ · G. Varela ↑

Substitution 3

90'

⚽

Carlos Eduardo

Assist · J. Fernandes · 1–2

J. Hodge

2–2

⚽

90'

Rodrigo Conceição

Yellow Card

▮

90+9'

▮

Jonathan Buatu

Yellow Card

Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Tondela and GIL Vicente drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 6 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Rony Lopes (16'), Murilo de Souza (29'), Carlos Eduardo (90'), J. Hodge (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.75 units (Brier 0.255).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	2.03	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.80	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.66	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.33	—	41%	Cashed	+1.33	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.03	—	46%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.85	—	44%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.26	—	82%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.00	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.45	—	67%	Cashed	+0.45	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.42	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.10	—	90%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.23	—	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.33	—	21%	Cashed	+3.33	Cashed
Draw	3.40	—	26%	Cashed	+2.40	Cashed
AH Home 0	2.95	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	4.12	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.75u	+4% ROI