Match SC Braga vs Arouca April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 17:00
1:0
Full-time
Arouca
W
L
D
W
W
Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Braga · Braga
Referee Claudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira, Portugal
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 1.95
✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 43% · book 2.25
✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.71
✗
xG (open play)
0.89 – 1.11
Δ −0.22
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Home Win at 1.44 — +3.1% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.44
✓ Cashed
AI 72%
Implied 69%
+0.44u
⛀ Lineups
BRA 3-4-2-1 · ARO 5-4-1
📊 Statistics
BRA 1
– 0 ARO
0.89
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.11
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
⏱ Match events
16 · 1 – 0
Half-time · 0 – 0
P. Oliveira ↓ · Vitor Carvalho ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
P. Victor ↓ · R. Horta ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
63'
G. Martinez ↓ · L. Lelo ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
63'
65'
⇄
A. Dante ↓ · B. Kuipers ↑
Substitution 1
65'
⇄
A. Trezza ↓ · P. Gozalbez ↑
Substitution 2
P. Victor
Assist · F. Navarro · 1–0
⚽
66'
Gabriel Martínez
Yellow Card
▮
72'
Gorby ↓ · J. Moutinho ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
76'
Gabriel Martínez
Yellow Card
▮
82'
Gabriel Martínez
Red Card
▮
82'
85'
⇄
Pedro Santos ↓ · T. Fukui ↑
Substitution 3
85'
⇄
M. Flores ↓ · H. Lee ↑
Substitution 4
Y. da Rocha ↓ · F. Navarro ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
89'
90+1'
⇄
F. Mayulu ↓ · Tiago Esgaio ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 0
Match recap
SC Braga beat Arouca 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.
On the scoresheet: P. Victor (66'). Gabriel Martínez was sent off in the 82' minute.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.25 units (Brier 0.172).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| BTTS No |
1.95 |
— |
50% |
Cashed |
+0.95 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.25 |
— |
43% |
Cashed |
+1.25 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.71 |
— |
57% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.95 |
— |
50% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.71 |
— |
35% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
1.44 |
— |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.44 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.10 |
— |
91% |
Cashed |
+0.10 |
Cashed
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.50 |
— |
65% |
Cashed |
+0.50 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
3.05 |
— |
28% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.13 |
— |
72% |
Cashed |
+0.13 |
Cashed
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.05 |
— |
94% |
Cashed |
+0.05 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
5.00 |
— |
20% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.23 |
— |
78% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.33 |
— |
22% |
Cashed |
+3.33 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
14.90 |
— |
6% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
8.27 |
— |
9% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
5.90 |
— |
9% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−2.25u |
−13% ROI |
